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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

St. Gilloise

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 15/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

21%

Points per game

1,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

47%

63%

Both score Ø 58%

47%

68%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,07 xG 1,26

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 6. · St Truiden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	16	12	2	2	+15	+17.0	38
2	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+22	+16.4	34
3	Anderlecht	16	9	5	2	+21	+9.2	32
4	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
5	Gent	17	7	7	3	+14	+0.7	28
6	St. Gilloise	15	7	6	2	+11	+13.0	27
7	Cercle Brugge	19	6	6	7	-10	-3.5	24
8	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.3	22
9	Standard	15	6	4	5	-7	-7.0	22
10	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
11	St Truiden	19	4	5	10	-19	-7.6	17
12	Mechelen	16	4	3	9	-5	-3.1	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	2	8	6	-5	-0.8	14
14	Westerlo	16	3	3	10	-6	-0.4	12
15	Kortrijk	19	3	2	14	-27	-13.9	11
16	Beerschot VA	19	1	6	12	-24	-18.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	9	8	1	0	+14	+11.2	25
2	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
3	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+16	+12.7	17
4	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
5	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
6	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
7	St. Gilloise	6	5	0	1	+7	+10.8	15
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	-1	+0.8	15
9	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
10	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
12	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
13	Mechelen	8	3	2	3	+4	+0.8	11
14	Kortrijk	9	3	0	6	-7	-1.6	9
15	Beerschot VA	9	1	5	3	-5	-6.1	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
5	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
6	St. Gilloise	9	2	6	1	+4	+2.2	12
7	Gent	9	2	5	2	+0	-2.5	11
8	Cercle Brugge	10	2	3	5	-9	-4.2	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
10	Standard	8	1	3	4	-11	-4.9	6
11	Mechelen	8	1	1	6	-9	-3.9	4
12	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	2	5	-8	-3.8	2
14	Kortrijk	10	0	2	8	-20	-12.3	2
15	Westerlo	7	0	1	6	-10	-9.7	1
16	Beerschot VA	10	0	1	9	-19	-12.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.