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Europa League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Shkendija
S S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shkendija Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shkendija Ludogorets
17′
⚽ D. Duarte 0–1
P. Stanic
1–1 L. Latifi ⚽
35′
Arbin Zejnullai 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 B. Ibraimi ⚽
L. Latifi
60′
66′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ D. Duarte
66′
🔁 F. Kaloc
↦ P. Stanic
66′
🔁 B. Tekpetey
↦ M. Chouiar
72′
🟨 Pedro Naressi
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ A. Zejnullai
72′
V. Krstevski 🔁
↦ L. Latifi
72′
72′
🔁 M. Machado
↦ E. Bile
Ronaldo Romario Webster 🟨
77′
81′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ Erick Marcus
F. Ramadani 🔁
↦ B. Ibraimi
85′
M. Murati 🔁
↦ F. Tamba
92′
A. Meliqi 🔁
↦ A. Alhassan
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
6 A. Alhassan M
29 F. Tamba F
17 A. Zejnullai M
77 L. Latifi F
7 B. Ibraimi F
Bench (11)
25 A. Amzai
30 F. Ramani
8 F. Ramadani
10 E. Krasniqi
16 M. Murati
18 N. Ceka
19 V. Krstevski
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
38 A. Nuhija

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Ludogorets

1 S. Padt G
17 Son D
55 I. Nachmias D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 D. Duarte M
14 P. Stanic M
77 Erick Marcus M
29 E. Bile F
8 M. Chouiar M
Bench (12)
39 H. Bonmann
67 D. Hristov
10 M. Machado
11 Caio Vidal
15 E. Kurtulus
18 I. Chochev
24 O. Verdon
26 F. Kaloc
37 B. Tekpetey
42 S. Shishkov
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.