Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salzburg
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | +4.3 | 29 |
| 2 |
LASK
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +3 | +0.3 | 29 |
| 3 |
Sturm Graz
|
16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | +6 | +4.6 | 28 |
| 4 |
Hartberg
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +4 | -1.6 | 26 |
| 5 |
Ried
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +0 | +0.9 | 26 |
| 6 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +5 | -2.0 | 24 |
| 7 |
SK Rapid
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +0 | -1.4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Austria Vienna
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -1.8 | 23 |
| 9 |
Altach
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | -1.6 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tirol
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -2 | +4.5 | 21 |
| 11 |
Grazer AK
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -12 | -2.8 | 15 |
| 12 |
BW Linz
|
16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -14 | -3.5 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Freiburg
Salzburg
BW Linz
Salzburg
Altach
Salzburg
Bologna
Salzburg
Salzburg
Tirol
A Sadikovski · 24 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.