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Europa League
Referee: Benoît Bastien
Bologna
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Brann
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
56%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
56%
46%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
31%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 0,51
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 Brann – Bologna 0–1 6. Nov -25 Bologna – Brann 0–0

Match report

Bologna Brann
Martin Vitík 🟨
28′
37′
🟥 Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Federico Bernardeschi 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Joao Mario ⚽
56′
60′
🔁 T. Pedersen
↦ K. M. Ingason
R. Orsolini 🔁
↦ F. Bernardeschi
61′
N. Casale 🔁
↦ M. Vitik
61′
J. Odgaard 🔁
↦ R. Freuler
73′
73′
🔁 M. Haaland
↦ J. D. Thorsteinsson
73′
🔁 R. Holten
↦ U. Mathisen
78′
🟨 Rasmus Holten
S. Sohm 🔁
↦ N. Moro
78′
B. Dominguez 🔁
↦ S. Castro
78′
Riccardo Orsolini 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ N. Holm
85′
🔁 V. Dragsnes
↦ J. Soltvedt
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
17 Joao Mario D
19 L. Ferguson M
8 R. Freuler M
6 N. Moro M
10 F. Bernardeschi F
9 S. Castro F
11 J. Rowe F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
4 T. Pobega
7 R. Orsolini
14 T. Heggem
16 N. Casale
21 J. Odgaard
23 S. Sohm
24 T. Dallinga
28 N. Cambiaghi
30 B. Dominguez
70 D. Baroncioni

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
4 N. Boakye D
17 J. Soltvedt D
10 K. M. Ingason M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
29 N. Holm F
16 J. D. Thorsteinsson F
Bench (12)
24 M. Klausen
12 S. Nilsen
11 B. Finne
20 V. Dragsnes
23 T. Pedersen
25 N. Wassberg
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
39 J. Laegreid
40 J. Eikrem
41 L. Remmem
43 R. Holten

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.