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Eliteserien
Referee: Marius Lien
Brann
T U U T U
3–1
Full-time
Ham-Kam
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 45%
55%
34%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
76%
62%
Both score Ø 59%
62%
55%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,84 xG 0,28
73% Possession 27%
19 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brann 4. · Ham-Kam 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 29 21 5 3 +37 +24.7 68
2 Bodo/Glimt 29 21 4 4 +52 +44.2 67
3 Tromso 29 17 3 9 +12 +11.8 54
4 Brann 29 16 5 8 +7 +23.2 53
5 Sandefjord 29 14 3 12 +11 -4.9 45
6 Fredrikstad 29 11 9 9 +8 -3.5 42
7 Valerenga 28 12 4 12 +0 -9.1 40
8 Molde 29 12 3 14 +5 +5.0 39
9 Rosenborg 29 10 9 10 -3 +2.0 39
10 Sarpsborg 08 29 10 8 11 -3 +8.4 38
11 Ham-Kam 29 10 7 12 -3 -10.6 37
12 KFUM Oslo 29 8 11 10 +3 +11.4 35
13 Kristiansund 28 9 7 12 -20 -18.8 34
14 Bryne 29 7 7 15 -22 -11.1 28
15 Stromsgodset 29 6 2 21 -29 -25.6 20
16 Haugesund 29 2 3 24 -55 -47.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Ham-Kam
4′
K. Lien 0–1
Y. Ibrahimaj
11′
🟥 Ethan Amundsen-Day
Ulrik Mathisen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
12′
18′
🟨 Anton Ekeroth
18′
🟨 Fredrik Sjolstad
20′
🔁 M. Larsen
↦ J. Gonstad
1–1 J. Sorensen
E. Kornvig
33′
2–1 D. De Roeve
D. De Roeve
45′
Half-time 2–1
47′
🟨 Aksel Baran Potur
Emil Kornvig 🟨
55′
3–1 E. Kornvig
T. Pedersen
60′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ N. Holm
66′
M. Haaland 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
66′
66′
🔁 W. Osnes-Ringen
↦ M. Johnsgard
66′
🔁 S. Nilsen
↦ F. Sjolstad
77′
🔁 G. Simenstad
↦ A. Potur
77′
🔁 E. Gojani
↦ K. Lien
L. Remmem 🔁
↦ E. Kornvig
78′
N. Boakye 🔁
↦ F. Knudsen
89′
90′
🟨 Mads Orrhaug Larsen
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
20 V. Dragsnes D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
23 T. Pedersen M
14 U. Mathisen F
29 N. Holm F
11 B. Finne F
Bench (9)
24 M. Klausen
4 N. Boakye
6 J. Sery Larsen
7 M. Hansen
9 N. Castro
17 J. Soltvedt
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
41 L. Remmem

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
7 V. Jonsson
2 G. Granath D
23 F. Sjolstad D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
24 Y. Ibrahimaj M
8 M. Johnsgard M
17 A. Potur
19 K. Lien
20 J. Gonstad F
Bench (8)
1 S. Ostraat
4 H. Opsahl
15 W. Osnes-Ringen
18 G. Simenstad
21 E. Gojani
22 S. Nilsen
26 M. Pedersen
34 M. Larsen

Coach: Thomas Harald Myhre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.