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Europa League
Referee: Marco Guida
Celta
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
PAOK
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/13 matches
Win Ø 47%
56%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
89%
54%
Both score Ø 68%
89%
46%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 0,35
55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 PAOK – Celta 1–2 2. Oct -25 Celta – PAOK 3–1

Match report

Celta PAOK
Ilaix Moriba 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
M. Roman 🔁
↦ I. Moriba
46′
1–0 W. Swedberg ⚽
B. Iglesias
63′
64′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ A. Bianco
F. Jutgla 🔁
↦ I. Aspas
67′
74′
🔁 G. Taylor
↦ D. Chatsidis
J. El Abdellaoui 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
77′
F. Lopez 🔁
↦ B. Iglesias
77′
80′
🔁 A. Jeremejeff
↦ G. Giakoumakis
C. Dominguez 🔁
↦ M. Alonso
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
15 M. Vecino M
6 I. Moriba M
5 S. Carreira M
10 I. Aspas F
19 W. Swedberg F
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
3 O. Mingueza
9 F. Jutgla
12 M. Fernandez
16 M. Roman
21 M. Ristic
23 H. Alvarez
24 C. Dominguez
39 J. El Abdellaoui
1 I. Villar
4 J. Aidoo
14 A. Nunez
30 F. Lopez

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

PAOK

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. R. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
20 C. Zafeiris M
35 J. Sanchez M
22 A. Bianco M
52 D. Chatsidis M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (9)
41 D. Monastirlis
81 V. Nikolakoulis
2 M. Camara
4 A. Vogliacco
19 A. Jeremejeff
25 K. Thymianis
32 G. Taylor
39 D. Berdos
37 B. Dunga

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.