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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Olympiakos

T S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 54%

68%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

68%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

56%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

29 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

11 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · Asteras Tripolis 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	25	17	7	1	+34	58
2	PAOK	26	17	4	5	+40	55
3	Olympiakos	25	17	3	5	+33	54
4	Panathinaikos	24	16	3	5	+37	51
5	Aris Thessalonikis	23	11	5	7	+10	38
6	Aris	23	11	5	7	+10	38
7	Lamia	26	10	8	8	-4	38
8	Asteras Tripolis	25	10	3	12	-8	33
9	OFI Crete	26	6	9	11	-16	27
10	Atromitos	26	6	9	11	-17	27
11	Panserraikos	26	5	10	11	-17	25
12	Panetolikos	26	4	7	15	-26	19
13	Giannina	26	3	9	14	-23	18
14	Volos NFC	24	3	8	13	-24	17
15	Kifisia	25	3	8	14	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	14	10	3	1	+24	33
2	AEK	13	10	3	0	+22	33
3	Olympiakos	12	9	0	3	+22	27
4	Panathinaikos	11	8	2	1	+23	26
5	Aris Thessalonikis	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Aris	11	7	2	2	+8	23
7	Lamia	13	7	2	4	+3	23
8	OFI Crete	13	6	4	3	+5	22
9	Asteras Tripolis	13	6	2	5	-3	20
10	Panserraikos	12	3	7	2	+0	16
11	Atromitos	13	3	6	4	-6	15
12	Panetolikos	13	4	3	6	-10	15
13	Giannina	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Kifisia	13	2	5	6	-9	11
15	Volos NFC	13	2	3	8	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	8	3	2	+11	27
2	Panathinaikos	13	8	1	4	+14	25
3	AEK	12	7	4	1	+12	25
4	PAOK	12	7	1	4	+16	22
5	Aris Thessalonikis	12	4	3	5	+2	15
6	Aris	12	4	3	5	+2	15
7	Lamia	13	3	6	4	-7	15
8	Asteras Tripolis	12	4	1	7	-5	13
9	Atromitos	13	3	3	7	-11	12
10	Panserraikos	14	2	3	9	-17	9
11	Volos NFC	11	1	5	5	-11	8
12	Giannina	13	1	4	8	-15	7
13	Kifisia	12	1	3	8	-20	6
14	OFI Crete	13	0	5	8	-21	5
15	Panetolikos	13	0	4	9	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.