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Conference League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S U S T S
3–2
Full-time
Zorya Luhansk
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv Zorya Luhansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,35 xG 1,08
58% Possession 42%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -23 Zorya Luhansk – Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–3

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv Zorya Luhansk
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Zahavi ⚽
G. Kanichowsky
46′
2–0 Dor Peretz ⚽
46′
50′
🟨 Anderson Jordan
Joris van Overeem 🟨
52′
59′
🔁 D. Myshniov
↦ V. Churko
59′
🔁 I. Horbach
↦ D. Alefirenko
3–0 Dor Peretz ⚽
G. Kanichowsky
60′
65′
🟨 Dmytro Myshnov
N. Bitton 🔁
↦ D. Luckassen
66′
D. Turgeman 🔁
↦ G. Kanichowsky
66′
66′
🔁 A. Bol
↦ Jordan
71′
⚽ E. Guerrero 3–1
I. Horbach
Y. Cohen 🔁
↦ Milson
77′
E. Golasa 🔁
↦ D. Biton
77′
81′
🔁 V. Buhai
↦ D. Nahnoinyi
81′
🔁 O. Danchenko
↦ I. Kyriukhantsev
Roy Revivo 🟨
82′
O. Davidzada 🔁
↦ E. Zahavi
85′
88′
⚽ I. Horbach 3–2
D. Antiukh
91′
🟨 Anton Bol
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-3-3
22 O. Mosquera G
2 A. Cohen D
25 D. Luckassen D
4 Enric Saborit D
3 R. Revivo D
42 Dor Peretz M
14 J. van Overeem M
16 G. Kanichowsky M
10 D. Biton F
7 E. Zahavi F
17 Milson F
Bench (12)
55 N. Bitton
9 D. Turgeman
11 Y. Cohen
23 E. Golasa
27 O. Davidzada
90 R. Mishpati
21 S. Yeini
97 Y. Maçon
77 O. Davida
70 Kiko Bondoso
19 Daniel
36 I. Shahar

Coach: R. Keane

Zorya Luhansk

4-5-1
30 M. Turbaievskyi G
70 I. Kyriukhantsev D
44 A. Batahov D
55 Jordan D
74 I. Snurnitsyn D
7 D. Antiukh M
22 P. Mićin M
20 V. Churko M
10 D. Nahnoinyi M
11 D. Alefirenko M
39 E. Guerrero F
Bench (9)
9 D. Myshniov
17 I. Horbach
3 A. Bol
19 V. Buhai
94 O. Danchenko
1 O. Saputin
4 K. Aziangbe
36 A. Zhylkin
15 K. Dryshliuk

Coach: Y. Koval

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.