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Conference League
Referee: A Colombo
HNK Rijeka
T T S U U
3–0
Full-time
Celje
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Rijeka Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
0%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,90 xG 1,68
50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

HNK Rijeka Celje
Ante Majstorović 🟨
19′
40′
🟨 Juanjo Nieto
Half-time 0–0
Dejan Petrovič 🟨
46′
1–0 D. Adu Adjei ⚽
S. Radeljic
56′
A. Juric 🔁
↦ D. Adu Adjei
61′
2–0 D. Petrovic ⚽
S. Radeljic
71′
73′
🔁 F. Jevsenak
↦ P. Daniel
73′
🔁 M. Avdyli
↦ D. Vuklisevic
L. Menalo 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
74′
75′
🟥 Artemijus Tutyškinas
3–0 T. Fruk ⚽
S. Vignato
78′
N. Jankovic 🔁
↦ T. Fruk
83′
M. Ndockyt 🔁
↦ D. Petrovic
83′
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ S. Vignato
83′
88′
🔁 D. Castro
↦ M. Kvesic
88′
🔁 A. Kotnik
↦ I. Vidovic
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovic M
26 T. Dantas M
14 A. Gojak M
10 T. Fruk M
19 S. Vignato M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (12)
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
4 N. Jankovic
9 D. Cop
17 L. Menalo
20 M. Ndockyt
23 J. Lasickas
25 D. Thaqi
30 B. Bogojevic
51 A. Husic
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Celje

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Leban G
44 L. Bejger D
3 D. Vuklisevic D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
2 Juanjo Nieto D
13 P. Daniel M
8 M. Kvesic M
20 N. Iosifov M
16 I. Vidovic M
10 D. Sturm M
9 F. Kovacevic F
Bench (10)
12 L. Kolar
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak
11 M. Avdyli
15 D. Castro
17 A. Kotnik
42 M. Boben
71 V. Lisakovich
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.