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Conference League
Referee: J Alberola
Celje
T S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Legia
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,75 xG 1,65
59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celje Legia
17′
⚽ K. Urbanski 0–1
B. Kapustka
Half-time 0–1
D. Hrka 🔁
↦ F. Jevsenak
46′
48′
🟨 Rafał Augustyniak
Mario Kvesić 🟨
52′
G. Vodeb 🔁
↦ A. Tutyskinas
59′
V. Lisakovich 🔁
↦ M. Avdyli
59′
66′
🟨 Bartosz Kapustka
68′
🔁 M. Rajovic
↦ A. Colak
68′
🔁 W. Urbanski
↦ P. Stojanovic
1–1 N. Iosifov ⚽
M. Kvesic
72′
2–1 Z. Karnicnik ⚽
77′
D. Vuklisevic 🔁
↦ L. Bejger
78′
78′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ K. Urbanski
A. Kotnik 🔁
↦ M. Kvesic
86′
86′
🔁 K. Chodyna
↦ E. Krasniqi
86′
🔁 J. Zewlakow
↦ B. Kapustka
87′
🟨 Jakub Żewłakow
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Celje

4-3-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
44 L. Bejger D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
23 Z. Karnicnik D
11 M. Avdyli M
7 F. Jevsenak M
8 M. Kvesic M
20 N. Iosifov F
9 F. Kovacevic F
10 D. Sturm F
Bench (11)
12 L. Kolar
3 D. Vuklisevic
4 D. Hrka
5 G. Vodeb
13 P. Daniel
16 I. Vidovic
17 A. Kotnik
42 M. Boben
71 V. Lisakovich
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 R. Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
8 R. Augustyniak M
82 K. Urbanski M
77 E. Krasniqi F
14 A. Colak F
30 P. Stojanovic F
Bench (11)
27 G. Kobylak
50 W. Banasik
4 M. Burch
11 K. Chodyna
20 J. Zewlakow
22 J. Elitim
29 M. Rajovic
44 D. Szymanski
53 W. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk
91 K. Piatkowski

Coach: Marek Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Alberola · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.