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Conference League
Referee: D Cerny
Drita
S U U S S
0–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Drita AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 69%
67%
70%
Points per game
2,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
17%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
1,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,18 xG 2,85
33% Possession 67%
6 Shots 25
1 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Drita AZ Alkmaar
17′
S. Mijnans 0–1
I. Jensen
Half-time 0–1
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ K. Abazaj
46′
58′
I. Jensen 0–2
K. Smit
L. Balaj 🔁
↦ A. Ajzeraj
62′
M. Soumahoro 🔁
↦ A. Manaj
62′
63′
🟨 Mateo Chávez
I. Mustafa 🔁
↦ V. Limaj
63′
65′
🟨 Weslley Patati
Jorgo Pëllumbi 🟨
67′
Mamadou Soumahoro 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 I. Sadiq
↦ T. Parrott
75′
🔁 R. Daal
↦ I. Jensen
75′
🔁 M. Sin
↦ Weslley Patati
M. Arthur 🔁
↦ R. Ovouka
81′
82′
🔁 E. Dijkstra
↦ M. Chavez Garcia
Ilir Mustafa 🟨
89′
90′
I. Sadiq 0–3
M. de Wit
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Drita

4-5-1
1 F. Maloku G
2 B. Krasniqi D
15 E. Bejtulai D
32 J. Pellumbi D
26 R. Ovouka D
7 A. Ajzeraj M
14 A. Dabiqaj M
8 V. Limaj M
77 K. Abazaj M
3 B. Sheji M
9 A. Manaj F
Bench (10)
22 L. Behluli
94 L. Rexhepi
10 L. Balaj
17 S. Ibrahim
19 B. Krasniqi
20 M. Soumahoro
23 E. Morina
36 I. Mustafa
66 E. Sylejmani
99 M. Arthur

Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
34 M. de Wit D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
15 M. Chavez Garcia D
26 K. Smit M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
10 S. Mijnans M
7 Weslley Patati F
9 T. Parrott F
17 I. Jensen F
Bench (10)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
11 I. Sadiq
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
23 B. van Duijl
25 L. Zeefuik
27 R. Daal
33 M. Sin

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.