← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Crotone
T S T U S
4–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Crotone Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 25%
24%
26%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 17. · Sassuolo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 28 4 3 +59 88
2 Napoli 34 26 6 2 +48 84
3 Roma 35 21 7 7 +31 70
4 Lazio 34 20 7 7 +40 67
5 Inter 35 18 12 5 +32 66
6 Atalanta 34 15 10 9 +17 55
7 Milan 34 15 9 10 +6 54
8 Fiorentina 34 14 9 11 +9 51
9 Sampdoria 34 15 6 13 -2 51
10 Torino 34 11 14 9 +7 47
11 Genoa 34 11 8 15 -5 41
12 Bologna 34 11 6 17 -7 39
13 Sassuolo 34 9 10 15 -28 37
14 Udinese 34 10 3 21 -13 33
15 Cagliari 34 9 6 19 -26 33
16 Chievo 35 7 10 18 -26 31
17 Crotone 34 8 7 19 -27 31
18 Spal 34 5 14 15 -25 29
19 Verona 34 7 4 23 -41 25
20 Benevento 34 5 2 27 -49 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crotone Sassuolo
1–0 M. Trotta
D. Faraoni
3′
2–0 S. Nwankwo
16′
3–0 M. Trotta
A. Nalini
31′
Rolando Mandragora 🟨
44′
Half-time 3–1
47′
D. Berardi 3–1
53′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ A. Ragusa
64′
🔁 L. Mazzitelli
↦ F. Magnanelli
M. Rohdén 🔁
↦ A. Barberis
74′
80′
🟨 Mauricio Lemos
Marcello Trotta 🟨
81′
Arlind Ajeti 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
81′
83′
🔁 A. Matri
↦ S. Missiroli
Arlind Ajeti 🟨
85′
M. Sampirisi 🔁
↦ A. Nalini
86′
4–1 S. Nwankwo
D. Faraoni
89′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Crotone

4-3-3
1 A. Cordaz G
37 D. Faraoni D
23 M. Capuano D
87 B. Martella D
7 F. Ceccherini D
5 A. Stoian M
10 A. Barberis M
9 A. Nalini F
38 R. Mandragora M
29 M. Trotta F
99 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (12)
6 M. Rohdén
93 Arlind Ajeti
31 M. Sampirisi
3 M. Festa
11 F. Ricci
13 M. Izco
19 M. Diaby
20 D. Pavlovic
21 N. Zanellato
32 M. Tumminello
34 S. Simič
89 G. Crociata

Coach: W. Zenga

Sassuolo

3-5-2
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 M. Lemos D
26 Rogério M
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
90 A. Ragusa F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (11)
30 K. Babacar
6 L. Mazzitelli
10 A. Matri
8 D. Biondini
17 N. Pierini
22 D. Frattesi
29 F. Cassata
38 M. Ferrini
39 C. Dell'Orco
55 T. Letschert
70 L. Marson

Coach: G. Iachini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.