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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
La Coruna
T S S U U
2–4
Full-time
Barcelona
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 34/33 matches
Win Ø 47%
18%
76%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
58%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
45%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,5
Conceded
1,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

37% Possession 63%
17 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 18. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 25 8 0 +64 83
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 9 4 +37 75
3 Real Madrid 34 21 8 5 +45 71
4 Valencia 35 20 7 8 +26 67
5 Betis 34 17 5 12 +1 56
6 Villarreal 34 16 6 12 +8 54
7 Getafe 35 13 10 12 +8 49
8 Girona 35 13 9 13 -6 48
9 Sevilla 34 14 6 14 -12 48
10 Sociedad 35 13 7 15 +8 46
11 Celta 35 12 9 14 +3 45
12 Eibar 35 12 8 15 -10 44
13 Alaves 35 13 2 20 -14 41
14 Ath Bilbao 35 9 13 13 -7 40
15 Espanol 35 9 13 13 -12 40
16 Leganes 35 11 7 17 -14 40
17 Levante 35 9 13 13 -16 40
18 La Coruna 34 6 10 18 -33 28
19 Las Palmas 35 5 7 23 -47 22
20 Malaga 34 5 5 24 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Barcelona
7′
Philippe Coutinho 0–1
O. Dembélé
Fabian Schär 🟨
20′
38′
L. Messi 0–2
L. Suárez
1–2 Lucas Pérez
Borja Valle
40′
Half-time 1–2
58′
🟨 Nélson Semedo
2–2 E. Çolak
C. Borges
64′
68′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ O. Dembélé
74′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Philippe Coutinho
82′
L. Messi 2–3
L. Suárez
S. Muntari 🔁
↦ Guilherme
83′
85′
L. Messi 2–4
L. Suárez
F. Cartabia 🔁
↦ Borja Valle
86′
F. Andone 🔁
↦ C. Borges
86′
87′
🔁 Iniesta
↦ I. Rakitić
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-3-1-2
13 Rubén G
16 Luisinho D
24 F. Schär D
2 Juanfran D
6 Albentosa D
14 M. Krohn-Dehli M
22 C. Borges M
20 Guilherme M
8 E. Çolak M
19 Borja Valle M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (7)
21 S. Muntari
9 F. Cartabia
10 F. Andone
3 Fernando Navarro
5 Pedro Mosquera
17 F. Valverde
25 M. Koval

Coach: C. Seedorf

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
23 S. Umtiti D
2 Nélson Semedo D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Sergio Busquets M
14 Philippe Coutinho M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
6 Denis Suárez
15 Paulinho
8 Iniesta
13 J. Cillessen
17 Paco Alcácer
22 Aleix Vidal
25 T. Vermaelen

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.