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OBOS-ligaen

Aalesund

S S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Notodden

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Notodden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 55%

83%

26%

Points per game

2,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

61%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Notodden 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	23	19	3	1	+33	60
2	Sandefjord	24	14	8	2	+16	50
3	Start	24	15	4	5	+14	49
4	KFUM Oslo	24	11	7	6	+14	40
5	Nest-Sotra	24	10	6	8	+7	36
6	Sogndal	24	10	5	9	+6	35
7	Kongsvinger	24	10	4	10	-2	34
8	Raufoss	23	11	1	11	-4	34
9	Ham-Kam	24	9	5	10	+1	32
10	Jerv	24	8	8	8	-6	32
11	Ull/Kisa	24	9	4	11	+0	31
12	Sandnes ULF	23	8	5	10	+1	29
13	Notodden	23	6	3	14	-11	21
14	Strommen	24	4	9	11	-14	21
15	Skeid	24	3	8	13	-14	17
16	Tromsdalen Uil	24	2	2	20	-41	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	11	11	0	0	+25	33
2	Sandefjord	12	9	2	1	+8	29
3	KFUM Oslo	12	9	1	2	+18	28
4	Start	12	9	1	2	+14	28
5	Nest-Sotra	13	8	3	2	+13	27
6	Ull/Kisa	12	7	3	2	+10	24
7	Kongsvinger	12	7	3	2	+7	24
8	Sogndal	12	7	2	3	+12	23
9	Jerv	12	6	5	1	+9	23
10	Raufoss	12	6	1	5	-1	19
11	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	+6	18
12	Strommen	12	3	6	3	+0	15
13	Sandnes ULF	11	4	1	6	-2	13
14	Skeid	12	2	6	4	-1	12
15	Notodden	11	2	2	7	-7	8
16	Tromsdalen Uil	12	1	2	9	-23	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	12	8	3	1	+8	27
2	Sandefjord	12	5	6	1	+8	21
3	Start	12	6	3	3	+0	21
4	Sandnes ULF	12	4	4	4	+3	16
5	Raufoss	11	5	0	6	-3	15
6	Ham-Kam	12	4	2	6	-5	14
7	Notodden	12	4	1	7	-4	13
8	KFUM Oslo	12	2	6	4	-4	12
9	Sogndal	12	3	3	6	-6	12
10	Kongsvinger	12	3	1	8	-9	10
11	Nest-Sotra	11	2	3	6	-6	9
12	Jerv	12	2	3	7	-15	9
13	Ull/Kisa	12	2	1	9	-10	7
14	Strommen	12	1	3	8	-14	6
15	Skeid	12	1	2	9	-13	5
16	Tromsdalen Uil	12	1	0	11	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.