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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Lorient
U T T T T
3–0
Full-time
Nimes
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,0
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
15%
23%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 39%
46%
31%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 19. · Nimes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 9 1 3 +24 28
2 Marseille 12 8 3 1 +9 27
3 Lille 13 7 5 1 +15 26
4 Lyon 13 7 5 1 +13 26
5 Montpellier 14 8 2 4 +4 26
6 Monaco 14 7 2 5 +5 23
7 Angers 14 7 2 5 -2 23
8 Rennes 14 6 4 4 +2 22
9 Lens 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Bordeaux 13 5 4 4 +0 19
11 Nice 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Brest 13 6 0 7 -3 18
13 Metz 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Nantes 13 3 4 6 -8 13
15 St Etienne 14 3 4 7 -8 13
16 Nimes 13 3 2 8 -13 11
17 Strasbourg 13 3 1 9 -6 10
18 Reims 13 2 4 7 -6 10
19 Lorient 13 2 2 9 -12 8
20 Dijon 13 1 5 7 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Nimes
1–0 Q. Boisgard
A. Laurienté
2′
Armand Lauriente 🟨
19′
2–0 P. Hamel
29′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Duljević
↦ Y. Benrahou
Andrew Gravillon 🟨
55′
Y. Wissa 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
60′
66′
🔁 N. Roux
↦ M. Koné
76′
🔁 S. Sarr
↦ M. Ahlinvi
T. Monconduit 🔁
↦ F. Lemoine
77′
J. Hergault 🔁
↦ J. Delaplace
77′
E. Le Fée 🔁
↦ T. Chalobah
77′
T. Moffi 🔁
↦ P. Hamel
83′
84′
🔁 K. Aribi
↦ N. Eliasson
86′
ℹ️ Nolan Roux
VAR: Goal cancelled
Armand Lauriente ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
89′
3–0 Y. Wissa
E. Le Fée
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lorient

4-3-3
30 P. Nardi G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
2 A. Gravillon D
18 F. Lemoine M
22 J. Delaplace D
6 L. Abergel M
8 T. Chalobah M
11 Q. Boisgard F
29 P. Hamel F
28 A. Laurienté F
Bench (9)
19 Y. Wissa
23 T. Monconduit
14 J. Hergault
10 E. Le Fée
13 T. Moffi
12 S. Marveaux
5 T. Fontaine
27 A. Grbić
1 M. Dreyer

Coach: C. Pélissier

Nimes

3-4-3
30 B. Reynet G
5 L. Landre D
26 F. Miguel D
2 K. Guessoum D
10 Z. Ferhat F
7 N. Eliasson M
12 L. Fomba M
22 Y. Benrahou F
11 M. Ahlinvi M
20 R. Ripart M
28 M. Koné F
Bench (9)
17 H. Duljević
25 N. Roux
6 S. Sarr
13 K. Aribi
21 P. Burner
15 G. Paquiez
23 A. Briançon
29 S. Alakouch
40 A. Nazih

Coach: J. Arpinon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
U
3,38
B
3,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.