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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Betis
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Villarreal
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
25%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Villarreal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 13 7 5 1 +17 26
2 Ath Madrid 11 8 2 1 +17 26
3 Real Madrid 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Villarreal 12 5 6 1 +4 21
5 Sevilla 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Cadiz 12 5 3 4 -2 18
7 Eibar 13 3 6 4 -1 15
8 Granada 11 4 3 4 -6 15
9 Betis 12 5 0 7 -9 15
10 Barcelona 10 4 2 4 +9 14
11 Valencia 13 3 5 5 +0 14
12 Ath Bilbao 12 4 2 6 +0 14
13 Elche 10 3 5 2 -1 14
14 Alaves 13 3 5 5 -3 14
15 Getafe 12 3 4 5 -5 13
16 Valladolid 13 3 4 6 -6 13
17 Celta 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Levante 11 2 5 4 -2 11
19 Huesca 13 1 8 4 -8 11
20 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Villarreal
5′
Pau Torres 0–1
Dani Parejo
Borja Iglesias 🟨
12′
15′
🟨 Fernando Niño
17′
🟨 Manu Trigueros
40′
🔁 F. Coquelin
↦ Iborra
41′
🔁 Pedraza
↦ P. Estupiñán
Half-time 0–1
Tello 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
46′
Juan Miranda 🔁
↦ Álex Moreno
46′
46′
🔁 Yeremi Pino
↦ Fer Niño
49′
🟨 Alfonso Pedraza
1–1 Aitor Ruibal
51′
58′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ T. Kubo
58′
🔁 Jaume Costa
↦ F. Coquelin
A. Sanabria 🔁
↦ Borja Iglesias
63′
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
64′
Joaquín 🔁
↦ Aitor Ruibal
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
22 Emerson D
18 A. Guardado M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
8 N. Fekir M
9 Borja Iglesias F
24 Aitor Ruibal M
Bench (12)
11 Tello
33 Juan Miranda
19 A. Sanabria
17 Joaquín
16 Loren Morón
23 A. Mandi
31 Carlos Marín
28 Rodri
20 D. Lainez
13 Dani Martín
2 Martín Montoya
7 Juanmi

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
2 Mario Gaspar D
15 P. Estupiñán D
4 Pau Torres D
10 Iborra M
5 Dani Parejo M
14 Manu Trigueros M
16 T. Kubo M
7 Gerard Moreno F
34 Fer Niño F
Bench (11)
19 F. Coquelin
24 Pedraza
30 Yeremi Pino
11 S. Chukwueze
21 Jaume Costa
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
13 G. Rulli
32 Álex Baena
12 Dani Raba
8 J. Foyth
22 S. Chakla

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
U ✓
3,54
B
2,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.