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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Salzburg
S U T S T
3–1
Full-time
LASK
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,7
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 70%
70%
70%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
70%
30%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
3,4
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 2. · LASK 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 10 7 2 1 +16 23
2 Salzburg 10 7 1 2 +23 22
3 Sturm Graz 10 6 3 1 +14 21
4 SK Rapid 11 6 3 2 +8 21
5 Tirol 11 5 2 4 +3 17
6 St. Polten 11 4 3 4 +3 15
7 Wolfsberger AC 10 4 1 5 -3 13
8 Hartberg 11 2 5 4 -10 11
9 Austria Vienna 11 2 4 5 -6 10
10 Ried 11 3 1 7 -13 10
11 Altach 11 2 2 7 -15 8
12 Admira 11 2 1 8 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg LASK
16′
🟨 Philipp Wiesinger
André Ramalho 🟨
23′
28′
J. Eggestein 0–1
T. Goiginger
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Andreas Gruber
1–1 P. Daka
D. Szoboszlai
54′
2–1 M. Berisha
62′
64′
🟨 Peter Michorl
65′
🔁 H. Balić
↦ A. Gruber
Mohamed Camara 🟨
70′
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ P. Daka
71′
S. Koïta 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
71′
73′
🔁 M. Madsen
↦ P. Michorl
A. Vallci 🔁
↦ A. Ulmer
74′
78′
🟨 Mads Emil Madsen
Albert Vallci 🟨
82′
83′
🟨 Thomas Goiginger
J. Onguéné 🔁
↦ M. Camara
85′
3–1 E. Mwepu
A. Vallci
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
15 André Ramalho D
39 M. Wöber D
43 R. Kristensen D
16 Z. Junuzović M
14 D. Szoboszlai M
45 E. Mwepu M
19 M. Camara M
8 M. Berisha F
20 P. Daka F
Bench (7)
27 K. Adeyemi
7 S. Koïta
5 A. Vallci
6 J. Onguéné
31 Carlos Miguel
77 N. Okafor
21 L. Sučić

Coach: J. Marsch

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
18 G. Trauner D
26 R. Ranftl M
6 P. Wiesinger D
25 J. Holland M
10 P. Michorl M
7 R. Renner M
30 A. Andrade D
27 T. Goiginger F
17 A. Gruber F
13 J. Eggestein F
Bench (7)
14 H. Balić
21 M. Madsen
23 S. Haudum
16 M. Potzmann
36 T. Gebauer
11 D. Reiter
22 Y. Cheberko

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.