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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
West Ham
T U T U U
0–0
Full-time
Stoke
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 47%
67%
27%
Average goals
3,1
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
24 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 8. · Stoke 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 15 9 5 1 +11 32
2 Arsenal 15 9 3 3 +14 30
3 Man City 15 9 2 4 +14 29
4 Man United 15 8 5 2 +10 29
5 Tottenham 15 6 8 1 +13 26
6 Everton 16 5 8 3 +8 23
7 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 +5 23
8 West Ham 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Liverpool 15 6 5 4 +1 23
10 Watford 15 6 4 5 +1 22
11 Stoke 15 6 4 5 -1 22
12 Southampton 15 5 6 4 +3 21
13 West Brom 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Chelsea 15 4 3 8 -7 15
15 Swansea 15 3 5 7 -8 14
16 Norwich 16 3 5 8 -10 14
17 Bournemouth 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Newcastle 15 3 4 8 -14 13
19 Sunderland 15 3 3 9 -12 12
20 Aston Villa 15 1 3 11 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Stoke
38′
🟨 Erik Pieters
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 M. Diouf
↦ M. van Ginkel
63′
🟨 Ibrahim Afellay
E. Valencia 🔁
↦ A. Song
64′
66′
🔁 J. Walters
↦ I. Afellay
Cheikhou Kouyaté 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 C. Adam
↦ G. Cameron
N. Jelavić 🔁
↦ M. Antonio
83′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

West Ham

13 Adrián G
19 J. Collins D
21 A. Ogbonna D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 A. Cresswell D
4 A. Song M
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
30 M. Antonio M
9 A. Carroll F
10 M. Zárate M
Bench (7)
11 E. Valencia
26 N. Jelavić
1 D. Randolph
12 C. Jenkinson
14 Pedro Obiang
35 R. Oxford
39 J. Cullen

Stoke

1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters D
8 G. Johnson D
17 R. Shawcross D
20 G. Cameron M
26 P. Wollscheid D
14 I. Afellay M
6 G. Whelan M
15 M. van Ginkel M
27 Bojan F
10 M. Arnautović M
Bench (7)
18 M. Diouf
19 J. Walters
16 C. Adam
2 P. Bardsley
11 Joselu
12 M. Wilson
29 J. Haugaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.