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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
1–3
Full-time
Tottenham
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 11
5 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 9. · Tottenham 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 22 13 5 4 +16 44
2 Leicester 22 12 8 2 +13 44
3 Man City 22 13 4 5 +22 43
4 Tottenham 22 10 9 3 +20 39
5 Man United 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 West Ham 22 9 8 5 +8 35
7 Liverpool 23 9 7 7 -2 34
8 Stoke 22 9 6 7 +2 33
9 Crystal Palace 22 9 4 9 -1 31
10 Southampton 22 8 6 8 +7 30
11 Everton 22 6 11 5 +7 29
12 Watford 22 8 5 9 +0 29
13 West Brom 22 7 6 9 -8 27
14 Chelsea 22 6 7 9 -3 25
15 Bournemouth 22 6 6 10 -11 24
16 Norwich 23 6 5 12 -15 23
17 Swansea 22 5 7 10 -10 22
18 Newcastle 22 5 6 11 -15 21
19 Sunderland 22 5 3 14 -18 18
20 Aston Villa 22 2 6 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Tottenham
0–1 J. Vertonghen
own goal
30′
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ E. Dier
James McArthur 🟨
61′
63′
H. Kane 0–2
N. Chadli
75′
🔁 K. Wimmer
↦ J. Vertonghen
79′
🟨 Kieran Trippier
M. Jedinak 🔁
↦ J. McArthur
79′
84′
D. Alli 0–3
C. Eriksen
F. Campbell 🔁
↦ Y. Cabaye
85′
88′
🔁 N. Bentaleb
↦ C. Eriksen
Mile Jedinak 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Harry Kane
95′
N. Chadli 0–4
D. Alli
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

13 W. Hennessey G
27 D. Delaney D
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
23 P. Souaré D
7 Y. Cabaye M
28 J. Ledley M
42 J. Puncheon M
18 J. McArthur F
11 W. Zaha M
21 C. Wickham F
Bench (7)
15 M. Jedinak
9 F. Campbell
1 J. Speroni
14 Chung-Yong Lee
22 J. Mutch
29 M. Chamakh
34 M. Kelly

Tottenham

1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
3 D. Rose D
4 T. Alderweireld D
16 K. Trippier D
15 E. Dier M
19 M. Dembélé M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
7 Heung-Min Son M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
22 N. Chadli
27 K. Wimmer
6 N. Bentaleb
11 E. Lamela
13 M. Vorm
28 T. Carroll
33 B. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.