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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Valeri
Frosinone
T T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Atalanta
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
3,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 28%
20%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 45%
55%
35%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
8 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Atalanta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 20 13 5 2 +25 44
2 Juventus 20 13 3 4 +22 42
3 Inter 20 12 4 4 +12 40
4 Fiorentina 20 12 2 6 +16 38
5 Roma 20 9 8 3 +14 35
6 Milan 20 9 5 6 +4 32
7 Sassuolo 20 8 8 4 +4 32
8 Empoli 20 9 4 7 +1 31
9 Lazio 20 8 4 8 -4 28
10 Chievo 20 7 6 7 +4 27
11 Torino 20 7 5 8 +1 26
12 Atalanta 20 7 4 9 -3 25
13 Udinese 20 7 3 10 -13 24
14 Sampdoria 20 6 5 9 -3 23
15 Bologna 20 7 2 11 -5 23
16 Genoa 20 6 4 10 -3 22
17 Palermo 20 6 3 11 -14 21
18 Carpi 20 4 5 11 -16 17
19 Frosinone 20 4 3 13 -23 15
20 Verona 20 0 9 11 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Aug -15 Atalanta – Frosinone 2–0

Match report

Frosinone Atalanta
Mirko Gori 🟨
30′
41′
🟨 Jasmin Kurtić
Arlind Ajeti 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
D. Soddimo 🔁
↦ L. Paganini
64′
74′
🔁 G. Denis
↦ G. Monachello
S. Longo 🔁
↦ D. Ciofani
77′
78′
🔁 A. Conti
↦ C. Raimondi
O. Kragl 🔁
↦ R. Chibsah
87′
92′
🔁 A. Diamanti
↦ A. Gómez
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Frosinone

33 N. Leali G
20 D. Pavlovic
6 L. Blanchard D
13 M. Ciofani D
93 Arlind Ajeti D
21 P. Sammarco M
5 M. Gori M
22 R. Chibsah M
18 F. Dionisi F
9 D. Ciofani F
17 L. Paganini F
Bench (10)
10 D. Soddimo
12 S. Longo
11 O. Kragl
1 Massimo Zappino
4 A. Russo
7 A. Frara
8 R. Gucher
23 L. Gomis
28 A. Rosi
69 D. Bertoncini

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
5 A. Masiello D
33 N. Cherubin D
3 Rafael Tolói D
8 G. Migliaccio M
10 A. Gómez F
77 C. Raimondi D
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
45 G. Monachello F
Bench (11)
19 G. Denis
24 A. Conti
23 A. Diamanti
1 B. Radunović
6 G. Bellini
7 M. D'Alessandro
11 R. Freuler
20 M. Estigarribia
28 D. Brivio
30 D. Bassi
55 B. Djimsiti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.