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Premier League
Referee: Mike Jones
Man United
T U S U S
0–1
Full-time
Southampton
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 5. · Southampton 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 22 13 5 4 +16 44
2 Leicester 22 12 8 2 +13 44
3 Man City 22 13 4 5 +22 43
4 Tottenham 22 10 9 3 +20 39
5 Man United 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 West Ham 22 9 8 5 +8 35
7 Liverpool 23 9 7 7 -2 34
8 Stoke 22 9 6 7 +2 33
9 Crystal Palace 22 9 4 9 -1 31
10 Southampton 22 8 6 8 +7 30
11 Everton 22 6 11 5 +7 29
12 Watford 22 8 5 9 +0 29
13 West Brom 22 7 6 9 -8 27
14 Chelsea 22 6 7 9 -3 25
15 Bournemouth 22 6 6 10 -11 24
16 Norwich 23 6 5 12 -15 23
17 Swansea 22 5 7 10 -10 22
18 Newcastle 22 5 6 11 -15 21
19 Sunderland 22 5 3 14 -18 18
20 Aston Villa 22 2 6 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United Southampton
Half-time 0–0
Mata 🔁
↦ M. Fellaini
46′
P. McNair 🔁
↦ M. Darmian
60′
67′
🔁 Oriol Romeu
↦ J. Clasie
67′
🔁 J. Ward-Prowse
↦ D. Tadić
79′
🔁 C. Austin
↦ S. Mané
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ C. Borthwick-Jackson
86′
87′
C. Austin 0–1
J. Ward-Prowse
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Man United

1 De Gea G
36 M. Darmian D
12 C. Smalling D
43 C. Borthwick-Jackson M
27 M. Fellaini M
28 M. Schneiderlin M
17 D. Blind D
21 Ander Herrera F
35 J. Lingard M
10 W. Rooney F
9 A. Martial F
Bench (7)
8 Mata
33 P. McNair
11 A. Januzaj
7 M. Depay
20 S. Romero
30 G. Varela
44 Andreas Pereira

Southampton

44 F. Forster G
6 José Fonte D
21 R. Bertrand D
2 Cédric Soares M
17 V. van Dijk D
33 M. Targett M
11 D. Tadić F
12 V. Wanyama M
4 J. Clasie M
7 S. Long F
10 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
14 Oriol Romeu
16 J. Ward-Prowse
28 C. Austin
3 M. Yoshida
15 R. Martina
20 Juanmi
22 M. Stekelenburg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.