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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Man City
S U S U S
1–3
Full-time
Leicester
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 58%
58%
58%
Points per game
2,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · Leicester 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 24 14 8 2 +18 50
2 Man City 24 14 5 5 +23 47
3 Tottenham 24 12 9 3 +25 45
4 Arsenal 24 13 6 5 +15 45
5 Man United 24 11 7 6 +10 40
6 West Ham 24 10 9 5 +10 39
7 Southampton 24 9 7 8 +8 34
8 Liverpool 24 9 7 8 -4 34
9 Watford 24 9 6 9 +1 33
10 Stoke 24 9 6 9 -4 33
11 Everton 24 7 11 6 +9 32
12 Crystal Palace 24 9 4 11 -4 31
13 Chelsea 24 7 8 9 -2 29
14 West Brom 24 7 8 9 -8 29
15 Bournemouth 24 7 7 10 -10 28
16 Swansea 24 6 8 10 -9 26
17 Norwich 24 6 5 13 -18 23
18 Newcastle 24 5 6 13 -19 21
19 Sunderland 24 5 4 15 -19 19
20 Aston Villa 24 2 7 15 -22 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Dec -15 Leicester – Man City 0–0

Match report

Man City Leicester
3′
R. Huth 0–1
R. Mahrez
36′
🟨 Wes Morgan
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Danny Simpson
48′
R. Mahrez 0–2
N. Kanté
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ F. Delph
52′
Fernando 🔁
↦ Y. Touré
52′
60′
R. Huth 0–3
C. Fuchs
Pablo Zabaleta 🟨
69′
Fernando 🟨
72′
B. Celina 🔁
↦ David Silva
77′
77′
🔁 D. Gray
↦ R. Mahrez
81′
🔁 L. Ulloa
↦ S. Okazaki
86′
🔁 N. Dyer
↦ M. Albrighton
1–3 S. Agüero
B. Celina
87′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Man City

1 J. Hart G
26 M. Demichelis D
5 P. Zabaleta D
11 A. Kolarov D
30 N. Otamendi D
21 David Silva M
42 Y. Touré M
25 Fernandinho M
18 F. Delph M
7 R. Sterling F
10 S. Agüero F
Bench (7)
72 K. Iheanacho
6 Fernando
59 B. Celina
13 W. Caballero
22 G. Clichy
3 B. Sagna
75 Aleix García

Leicester

1 K. Schmeichel G
6 R. Huth D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
11 M. Albrighton M
4 D. Drinkwater M
14 N. Kanté M
20 S. Okazaki F
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
22 D. Gray
23 L. Ulloa
24 N. Dyer
10 A. King
27 M. Wasilewski
30 B. Chilwell
32 M. Schwarzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.