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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Heerenveen
T T S S S
1–3
Full-time
Twente
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
62%
71%
Both score Ø 69%
67%
71%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,9
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 10. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 15 5 1 +31 50
2 Ajax 21 15 4 2 +36 49
3 Feyenoord 21 11 3 7 +12 36
4 Nijmegen 21 10 4 7 +4 34
5 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +19 33
6 Heracles 19 9 5 5 +4 32
7 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 4 8 +3 31
8 Groningen 20 8 7 5 -1 31
9 Zwolle 19 8 5 6 +5 29
10 Heerenveen 21 8 5 8 -6 29
11 Den Haag 22 6 9 7 -1 27
12 Roda 22 5 9 8 -15 24
13 Utrecht 18 6 5 7 +0 23
14 Willem II 22 4 9 9 -4 21
15 Excelsior 22 4 7 11 -16 19
16 Twente 21 5 4 12 -21 19
17 Cambuur 21 2 7 12 -27 13
18 De Graafschap 21 3 2 16 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Nov -15 Twente – Heerenveen 1–4

Match report

Heerenveen Twente
1–0 H. Veerman
13′
24′
🟨 Joachim Andersen
Joost van Aken 🟨
25′
Stefano Marzo 🟨
39′
40′
Bruno Uvini 1–1
H. Ziyech
42′
🟨 Robbert Schilder
Half-time 1–1
Joost van Aken 🟨
69′
Joost van Aken 🟥
69′
L. Bijker 🔁
↦ C. Cavlan
77′
L. Slagveer 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
80′
80′
🔁 T. Agyepong
↦ C. Ede
M. te Vrede 🔁
↦ H. Veerman
84′
89′
J. Cabral 1–2
T. Agyepong
93′
H. Ziyech 1–3
F. Gutiérrez
94′
🔁 O. Zawada
↦ Z. El Azzouzi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
22 C. Cavlan D
6 S. Marzo D
2 P. van Anholt D
3 K. Otigba D
4 J. van Aken D
21 J. van den Berg
13 A. Zeneli F
8 M. Thorsby M
11 S. Larsson F
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (7)
5 L. Bijker
7 L. Slagveer
9 M. te Vrede
25 W. Huizing
15 L. Zahovič
17 B. van den Boomen
30 W. Sietsma

Twente

1 N. Marsman G
3 Bruno Uvini D
15 J. Andersen D
17 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
5 R. Schilder D
6 F. Gutiérrez M
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 H. Ziyech M
18 Z. El Azzouzi F
26 J. Cabral F
Bench (7)
11 T. Agyepong
8 O. Zawada
12 T. Hölscher
25 P. Bijen
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
28 J. van der Lely

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.