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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Bologna

T U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

61%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 44%

39%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

5 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 10. · Fiorentina 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	23	16	5	2	+33	53
2	Juventus	23	16	3	4	+28	51
3	Fiorentina	23	14	3	6	+19	45
4	Inter	23	13	5	5	+10	44
5	Roma	23	11	8	4	+17	41
6	Milan	23	11	6	6	+9	39
7	Sassuolo	23	8	9	6	+0	33
8	Empoli	23	9	6	8	-3	33
9	Lazio	23	9	5	9	-3	32
10	Bologna	23	9	2	12	-3	29
11	Torino	23	7	7	9	-1	28
12	Chievo	23	7	6	10	-4	27
13	Atalanta	23	7	6	10	-4	27
14	Udinese	23	7	5	11	-16	26
15	Palermo	23	7	4	12	-13	25
16	Genoa	23	6	6	11	-4	24
17	Sampdoria	23	6	6	11	-6	24
18	Carpi	23	4	7	12	-17	19
19	Frosinone	23	5	4	14	-24	19
20	Verona	23	1	11	11	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Fiorentina	12	9	1	2	+16	28
3	Juventus	11	8	2	1	+12	26
4	Roma	11	7	3	1	+13	24
5	Milan	11	7	2	2	+7	23
6	Inter	12	7	2	3	+5	23
7	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	Torino	12	5	4	3	+6	19
9	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Sampdoria	12	5	3	4	+4	18
11	Genoa	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Sassuolo	11	4	5	2	+0	17
13	Frosinone	12	5	2	5	-4	17
14	Empoli	11	4	3	4	+1	15
15	Bologna	12	4	2	6	+0	14
16	Palermo	12	4	2	6	-3	14
17	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-1	13
18	Carpi	12	3	4	5	-2	13
19	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-8	12
20	Verona	12	1	5	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	8	1	3	+16	25
2	Napoli	12	7	3	2	+15	24
3	Inter	11	6	3	2	+5	21
4	Empoli	12	5	3	4	-4	18
5	Roma	12	4	5	3	+4	17
6	Fiorentina	11	5	2	4	+3	17
7	Milan	12	4	4	4	+2	16
8	Sassuolo	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Bologna	11	5	0	6	-3	15
10	Chievo	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Udinese	12	4	2	6	-8	14
12	Lazio	11	3	2	6	-10	11
13	Palermo	11	3	2	6	-10	11
14	Torino	11	2	3	6	-7	9
15	Atalanta	12	2	3	7	-9	9
16	Genoa	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-10	6
18	Verona	11	0	6	5	-10	6
19	Carpi	11	1	3	7	-15	6
20	Frosinone	11	0	2	9	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.