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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Montpellier

U S U S S

3–0

Full-time

Marseille

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

55%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

45%

73%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,2

3,6

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

5 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 3. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+34	36
2	Lille	12	8	1	3	+11	25
3	Montpellier	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	St Etienne	12	5	5	2	+0	20
6	Marseille	11	6	1	4	+4	19
7	Strasbourg	12	4	5	3	+4	17
8	Reims	12	4	5	3	-2	17
9	Nice	12	5	2	5	-5	17
10	Nantes	12	4	3	5	+2	15
11	Bordeaux	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
13	Nimes	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Toulouse	12	3	5	4	-9	14
15	Angers	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Caen	12	2	5	5	-5	11
17	Dijon	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Amiens	12	3	1	8	-9	10
19	Monaco	12	1	4	7	-6	7
20	Guingamp	12	1	4	7	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Lille	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	St Etienne	6	4	2	0	+5	14
5	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+9	13
6	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Amiens	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Reims	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Nantes	6	2	2	2	+6	8
12	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
13	Caen	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Rennes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Nimes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Nice	6	2	0	4	-7	6
17	Angers	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Monaco	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Dijon	6	1	0	5	-10	3
20	Guingamp	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Montpellier	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Nice	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Dijon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
7	Reims	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Angers	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Lille	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Lyon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Nantes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Marseille	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-5	6
15	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	-7	6
16	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Guingamp	7	1	2	4	-12	5
18	Monaco	6	1	1	4	-3	4
19	Caen	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Amiens	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.