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Serie A

Referee: Marco Di Bello

Udinese

T T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Milan

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 70%

50%

90%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 16. · Milan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Inter	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Napoli	11	8	1	2	+12	25
4	Lazio	11	7	0	4	+4	21
5	Milan	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Sassuolo	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Torino	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+8	16
9	Roma	11	4	4	3	+4	16
10	Atalanta	11	4	3	4	+6	15
11	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	+4	15
12	Parma	11	4	2	5	-4	14
13	Genoa	11	4	2	5	-8	14
14	Cagliari	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Spal	11	4	0	7	-8	12
16	Udinese	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Bologna	11	2	3	6	-7	9
18	Empoli	11	1	3	7	-10	6
19	Frosinone	11	1	3	7	-15	6
20	Chievo	11	0	2	9	-20	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Juventus	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Fiorentina	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Inter	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Lazio	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Genoa	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Cagliari	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
11	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Parma	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
14	Torino	5	2	1	2	-1	7
15	Bologna	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Spal	5	2	0	3	-3	6
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Chievo	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Inter	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Torino	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Atalanta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Roma	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Parma	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Spal	6	2	0	4	-5	6
12	Milan	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Udinese	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Frosinone	6	1	1	4	-7	4
15	Cagliari	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	-10	4
17	Fiorentina	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Empoli	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.