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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Sampdoria
U S S U T
1–4
Full-time
Torino
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
30%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 8. · Torino 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 10 1 0 +16 31
2 Inter 11 8 1 2 +15 25
3 Napoli 11 8 1 2 +12 25
4 Lazio 11 7 0 4 +4 21
5 Milan 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Fiorentina 11 4 4 3 +8 16
7 Roma 11 4 4 3 +4 16
8 Sampdoria 10 4 3 3 +7 15
9 Sassuolo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Torino 10 3 5 2 +0 14
11 Genoa 11 4 2 5 -8 14
12 Parma 10 4 1 5 -4 13
13 Cagliari 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Atalanta 10 3 3 4 +5 12
15 Spal 11 4 0 7 -8 12
16 Udinese 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Bologna 10 2 3 5 -6 9
18 Empoli 11 1 3 7 -10 6
19 Frosinone 10 1 2 7 -15 5
20 Chievo 10 0 2 8 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Torino
Dennis Praet 🟨
11′
12′
A. Belotti 0–1
L. De Silvestri
K. Linetty 🔁
↦ É. Barreto
14′
32′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
Albin Ekdal 🟨
40′
43′
A. Belotti 0–2
Half-time 0–2
50′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
G. Defrel 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
53′
56′
Iago Falqué 0–3
O. Aina
1–3 F. Quagliarella
65′
69′
🔁 Álex Berenguer
↦ Iago Falqué
78′
A. Izzo 1–4
A. Belotti
D. Kownacki 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
79′
83′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ A. Belotti
84′
🔁 R. Soriano
↦ T. Rincón
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
26 L. Tonelli D
29 N. Murru D
3 J. Andersen D
8 É. Barreto M
6 A. Ekdal M
5 R. Saponara M
10 D. Praet M
27 F. Quagliarella F
17 G. Caprari F
Bench (12)
16 K. Linetty
92 G. Defrel
99 D. Kownacki
4 R. Vieira Nan
7 J. Sala
11 G. Ramírez
14 J. Jankto
15 O. Colley
22 Junior Tavares
25 A. Ferrari
33 Rafael
72 V. Belec

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
21 Álex Berenguer
11 S. Zaza
6 R. Soriano
1 S. Ichazo
3 Lyanco
7 S. Lukić
15 C. Ansaldi
20 S. Edera
24 E. Moretti
25 A. Rosati
27 V. Parigini
36 Bremer

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.