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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Utrecht

T U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Den Haag

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

60%

70%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Den Haag 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+35	33
2	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+26	28
3	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Heracles	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
7	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
8	Heerenveen	11	3	5	3	-1	14
9	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Excelsior	11	3	3	5	-7	12
11	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-7	12
12	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	For Sittard	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Willem II	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	De Graafschap	11	3	1	7	-11	10
16	FC Emmen	11	2	4	5	-14	10
17	NAC Breda	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Groningen	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
7	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Excelsior	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
13	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
14	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-7	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.