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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
For Sittard
U T U S T
3–0
Full-time
Zwolle
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
70%
40%
Both score Ø 65%
90%
40%
Average goals
3,9
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 13. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 11 0 0 +35 33
2 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +26 28
3 Feyenoord 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Heracles 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 3 4 +3 15
6 VVV Venlo 10 4 3 3 +1 15
7 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 -1 15
8 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 -1 14
9 Vitesse 10 3 3 4 -1 12
10 Excelsior 11 3 3 5 -7 12
11 Den Haag 10 3 3 4 -7 12
12 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 -5 11
13 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 -3 10
14 Willem II 11 2 4 5 -4 10
15 De Graafschap 11 3 1 7 -11 10
16 FC Emmen 11 2 4 5 -14 10
17 NAC Breda 11 2 2 7 -12 8
18 Groningen 10 2 1 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Zwolle
1–0 F. Stokkers
A. Ciranni
3′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. van den Berg
↦ D. Lachman
46′
🔁 V. van Crooij
↦ O. Bouy
Lazaros Lamprou 🟨
56′
2–0 M. Diemers
67′
R. Ramírez 🔁
↦ K. Heerings
73′
74′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ K. Paal
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ L. Hutten
81′
84′
🟨 Vito van Crooy
84′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
3–0 M. Diemers
86′
André Vidigal 🔁
↦ J. Smeets
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
4 K. Heerings D
23 Mica Pinto D
3 W. Dammers D
17 A. Ciranni D
25 L. Hutten M
10 M. Diemers M
6 J. Smeets M
14 Lisandro Semedo F
97 L. Lamprou F
19 F. Stokkers F
Bench (10)
30 R. Ramírez
8 A. El Messaoudi
7 André Vidigal
21 A. Dobos
26 Bo Breukers
33 C. Braun
13 M. Ospitalieri
27 R. Koot
1 A. Özer
20 A. Ciss

Coach: R. Eijer

Zwolle

4-3-1-2
16 M. van der Hart G
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
34 O. Bouy D
21 Y. Namli F
14 Z. Flemming M
17 D. Genreau M
6 G. Hamer M
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (8)
33 S. van den Berg
7 V. van Crooij
10 G. Scamacca
8 C. Leemans
19 R. Dekker
40 M. Hauptmeijer
23 D. Bouzanis
24 R. Ligeon

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.