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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Ranheim
U T S T U
3–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
42%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
62%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ranheim 5. · Lillestrom 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 26 16 6 4 +23 54
2 Brann 26 15 7 4 +14 52
3 Molde 26 14 5 7 +19 47
4 Haugesund 26 14 5 7 +11 47
5 Ranheim 26 11 6 9 -4 39
6 Odd 26 10 7 9 +6 37
7 Kristiansund 26 10 7 9 +3 37
8 Valerenga 27 10 7 10 -6 37
9 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 6 11 +4 33
10 Tromso 26 10 3 13 -3 33
11 Stromsgodset 27 7 8 12 +0 29
12 Start 26 8 5 13 -16 29
13 Bodo/Glimt 26 6 10 10 -3 28
14 Lillestrom 26 6 9 11 -11 27
15 Stabaek 26 5 9 12 -15 24
16 Sandefjord 26 3 10 13 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Apr -18 Lillestrom – Ranheim 0–1

Match report

Ranheim Lillestrom
12′
S. Rafn 0–1
1–1 E. Tønne
D. Kvande
34′
2–1 K. Løkberg
38′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 A. Witry
K. Løkberg
53′
66′
🔁 M. Haakenstad
↦ F. Krogstad
66′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ E. Brenden
66′
🔁 E. Knudtzon
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
M. Lillebo 🔁
↦ O. Solbakken
73′
M. Karlsen 🔁
↦ A. Helmersen
80′
83′
I. Matthew 3–2
Erik Tonne 🟨
90′
Ø. Alseth 🔁
↦ E. Tønne
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ranheim

4-3-3
1 E. Barli G
18 I. Furu D
24 A. Foosnæs D
15 E. Tønne F
3 D. Kvande D
23 A. Witry D
7 M. Reginiussen M
16 K. Løkberg M
11 E. Dønnem M
27 A. Helmersen F
26 O. Solbakken F
Bench (7)
14 M. Lillebo
9 M. Karlsen
5 Ø. Alseth
10 Ø. Storflor
12 M. Lenes
13 J. Olufsen
17 S. Sørløkk

Coach: S. Maalen

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
22 S. Antonijevic D
5 S. Rafn D
23 D. Pedersen M
15 E. Brenden M
17 K. Ødemarksbakken M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
2 M. Haakenstad
9 G. Martin
11 E. Knudtzon
12 R. Ayagwa
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen
33 A. Melgalvis

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.