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Premier League
Referee: Lee Mason
Southampton
T S U T U
3–2
Full-time
West Ham
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Southampton 11. · West Ham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Liverpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -4 1
13 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Newcastle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Southampton West Ham
1–0 M. Gabbiadini
N. Redmond
11′
Dušan Tadić 🟨
15′
33′
🟥 Marko Arnautović
2–0 D. Tadić
38′
44′
Javier Hernández 2–1
Half-time 2–1
J. Ward-Prowse 🔁
↦ M. Lemina
65′
68′
🔁 D. Sakho
↦ M. Antonio
68′
🔁 E. Fernandes
↦ A. Ayew
73′
Javier Hernández 2–2
76′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ D. Rice
S. Long 🔁
↦ S. Davis
80′
C. Austin 🔁
↦ M. Gabbiadini
80′
90′
🟨 Pablo Zabaleta
3–2 C. Austin
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Southampton

4-2-3-1
44 F. Forster G
3 M. Yoshida D
21 R. Bertrand D
2 Cédric Soares D
5 J. Stephens D
8 S. Davis M
11 D. Tadić M
14 Oriol Romeu M
22 N. Redmond M
18 M. Lemina M
20 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (7)
16 J. Ward-Prowse
7 S. Long
10 C. Austin
13 A. McCarthy
19 S. Boufal
35 J. Bednarek
38 S. McQueen

Coach: M. Pellegrino

West Ham

4-2-3-1
25 J. Hart G
5 P. Zabaleta D
21 A. Ogbonna D
4 José Fonte D
3 A. Cresswell D
16 M. Noble M
30 M. Antonio M
41 D. Rice M
20 A. Ayew M
7 M. Arnautović M
17 Javier Hernández F
Bench (6)
15 D. Sakho
31 E. Fernandes
14 Pedro Obiang
13 Adrián
22 S. Byram
26 A. Masuaku

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.