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Primeira Liga
Referee: Antonio Nobre
Tondela
S S S U T
2–3
Full-time
Estoril
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tondela 15. · Estoril 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rio Ave 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
6 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Estoril 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
10 Guimaraes 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Moreirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Feirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Boavista 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Chaves 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tondela Estoril
13′
David Bruno 1–0
own goal
26′
Allano 1–1
Pedro Monteiro
Eli 🔁
↦ Bruno Monteiro
32′
Half-time 1–1
Claude Goncalves 🟨
47′
48′
Allano 1–2
Duarte
2–2 Tómané
David Bruno
50′
55′
🟨 Joel
3–2 Eli
Tómané
62′
65′
🔁 O. Diakhite
↦ Lucas Evangelista
67′
🔁 J. Aguilar
↦ André Claro
Hélder Tavares 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Allano
Miguel Cardoso 🔁
↦ Murilo
72′
82′
🔁 Fernando Fonseca
↦ Eduardo
M. Zachara 🔁
↦ Wagner
84′
Ricardo Costa 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Tondela

4-3-3
1 Cláudio Ramos G
20 Ricardo Costa D
22 David Bruno D
4 N. Ansell D
27 Bruno Monteiro M
7 Claude Gonçalves M
8 Hélder Tavares M
5 Pité D
28 Wagner F
19 Tómané F
77 Murilo M
Bench (7)
99 Eli
11 Miguel Cardoso
14 M. Zachara
9 T. Boyd
10 Pedro Nuno
12 Ricardo Janota
23 Joãozinho

Coach: Pepa

Estoril

4-3-3
31 Moreira G
28 Gonçalo Brandão D
7 Mano D
5 Joel D
4 Pedro Monteiro D
8 Eduardo M
17 Lucas Evangelista M
19 Duarte M
10 Kléber F
22 André Claro F
11 Allano M
Bench (7)
15 O. Diakhite
29 J. Aguilar
12 Fernando Fonseca
14 Gustavo Tocantins
20 Matheus Índio
70 Aylton Boa Morte
96 Luís Ribeiro

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.