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Ligue 1
Referee: Clement Turpin
Lyon
S S U S S
3–3
Full-time
Bordeaux
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lyon 2. · Bordeaux 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 0
20 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lyon Bordeaux
1–0 N. Fekir
10′
2–0 K. Tete
M. Depay
23′
Sergi Darder 🟨
33′
Sergi Darder 🟨
36′
Sergi Darder 🟥
36′
37′
🔁 Jonathan Cafú
↦ V. Vada
Bertrand Traoré 🟨
39′
41′
Malcom 2–1
J. Ferri 🔁
↦ M. Díaz
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 G. Laborde
↦ A. Mendy
59′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
64′
🟨 Jonathan Cafú
M. Cornet 🔁
↦ M. Depay
65′
M. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ Fernando Marçal
74′
3–1 B. Traoré
74′
Jérémy Morel 🟨
82′
88′
L. Lerager 3–2
91′
Malcom 3–3
F. Kamano
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
15 J. Morel D
6 Marcelo D
20 Fernando Marçal D
23 K. Tete D
14 Sergi Darder M
29 L. Tousart M
10 B. Traoré F
11 M. Depay F
9 M. Díaz F
18 N. Fekir M
Bench (7)
12 J. Ferri
27 M. Cornet
5 M. Diakhaby
4 Rafael
8 H. Aouar
30 M. Gorgelin
17 M. Maolida

Coach: B. Génésio

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
20 Y. Sabaly D
21 T. Pellenard D
4 V. Jovanović D
14 J. Toulalan D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
23 V. Vada M
15 A. Mendy F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
22 Jonathan Cafú
24 G. Laborde
5 Otávio
2 M. Gajić
6 I. Lewczuk
18 J. Plašil
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Clement Turpin · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.