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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Hoffenheim
U S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
5,5
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Hoffenheim Werder Bremen
26′
🟨 Robert Bauer
Half-time 0–0
A. Kramarić 🔁
↦ N. Amiri
64′
Ádám Szalai 🟨
66′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ M. Uth
67′
67′
🔁 P. Bargfrede
↦ F. Kainz
E. Polanski 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
74′
75′
🔁 J. Gondorf
↦ F. Bartels
78′
🟨 Maximilian Eggestein
81′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
1–0 A. Kramarić
Á. Szalai
84′
87′
🔁 A. Jóhannsson
↦ M. Eggestein
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
15 J. Toljan D
6 H. Nordtveit D
17 S. Zuber M
22 K. Vogt D
10 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
32 D. Geiger M
28 Á. Szalai F
19 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
27 A. Kramarić
29 S. Gnabry
8 E. Polanski
3 P. Kadeřábek
4 E. Bičakčić
7 L. Rupp
36 G. Kobel

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
5 L. Augustinsson D
4 R. Bauer D
22 F. Bartels F
6 T. Delaney M
7 F. Kainz F
13 M. Veljkovic D
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
44 P. Bargfrede
8 J. Gondorf
9 A. Jóhannsson
3 L. Caldirola
20 U. Garcia
24 J. Eggestein
33 J. Drobný

Coach: A. Nouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.