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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Hannover

U T S T U

3–2

Full-time

Mainz

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

48% Possession 52%

25 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hannover 11. · Mainz 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	14	2	2	+28	44
2	Schalke 04	17	8	6	3	+7	30
3	Dortmund	17	8	4	5	+15	28
4	Leverkusen	18	7	7	4	+9	28
5	RB Leipzig	17	8	4	5	+2	28
6	M'gladbach	17	8	4	5	-1	28
7	Hoffenheim	17	7	5	5	+5	26
8	Ein Frankfurt	17	7	5	5	+2	26
9	Augsburg	17	6	6	5	+4	24
10	Hertha	17	6	6	5	+1	24
11	Hannover	17	6	5	6	-2	23
12	Wolfsburg	17	3	10	4	+0	19
13	Freiburg	17	4	7	6	-14	19
14	Stuttgart	17	5	2	10	-8	17
15	Mainz	17	4	5	8	-9	17
16	Werder Bremen	17	3	6	8	-7	15
17	Hamburg	17	4	3	10	-10	15
18	FC Koln	17	1	3	13	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	M'gladbach	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Leverkusen	9	4	4	1	+7	16
7	Stuttgart	8	5	1	2	+4	16
8	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
10	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+9	13
12	Augsburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
14	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
15	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Werder Bremen	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
3	Dortmund	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Leverkusen	9	3	3	3	+2	12
5	Schalke 04	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hertha	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
12	Wolfsburg	8	1	4	3	-2	7
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Freiburg	8	1	2	5	-16	5
15	Mainz	8	0	4	4	-8	4
16	Hamburg	8	1	1	6	-9	4
17	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-13	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.