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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
La Coruna
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
Valencia
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
22%
61%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 17. · Valencia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 15 3 0 +41 48
2 Ath Madrid 19 12 6 1 +20 42
3 Valencia 18 11 4 3 +20 37
4 Real Madrid 18 9 5 4 +15 32
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Sevilla 18 9 2 7 -4 29
7 Eibar 19 8 3 8 -7 27
8 Getafe 19 7 5 7 +5 26
9 Girona 19 7 5 7 +0 26
10 Ath Bilbao 18 6 6 6 +1 24
11 Leganes 17 7 3 7 -1 24
12 Betis 18 7 3 8 -4 24
13 Sociedad 18 6 5 7 +1 23
14 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -6 23
15 Celta 18 6 4 8 +5 22
16 Levante 18 3 9 6 -10 18
17 La Coruna 18 4 4 10 -15 16
18 Alaves 18 5 0 13 -14 15
19 Malaga 19 3 2 14 -20 11
20 Las Palmas 19 3 2 14 -32 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Valencia
37′
Gonçalo Guedes 0–1
Rodrigo
Half-time 0–1
Pedro Mosquera 🟨
47′
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ C. Borges
52′
63′
🟨 Dani Parejo
64′
Rodrigo 0–2
Gonçalo Guedes
F. Valverde 🔁
↦ Pedro Mosquera
70′
74′
🔁 L. Vietto
↦ Santi Mina
81′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ Rodrigo
83′
🔁 Martín Montoya
↦ F. Coquelin
1–2 F. Andone
Adrián
88′
90′
🟨 José Luis Gayà
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-3-3
13 Rubén G
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
2 Juanfran D
6 Albentosa D
22 C. Borges M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
20 Guilherme M
15 Adrián
7 Lucas Pérez F
10 F. Andone F
Bench (7)
8 E. Çolak
17 F. Valverde
3 Fernando Navarro
11 Carles Gil
19 Borja Valle
24 F. Schär
25 C. Pantilimon

Coach: Cristóbal

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
10 Dani Parejo M
17 F. Coquelin M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
6 N. Maksimović M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
8 L. Vietto
9 S. Zaza
21 Martín Montoya
1 Jaume Doménech
15 Toni Lato
31 Nacho Gil
33 Ferrán Torres

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.