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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Sp Braga

S T S S S

1–3

Full-time

Benfica

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,5

2,8

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 71%

71%

Points per game

2,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

65%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,4

Conceded

0,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Benfica 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	+36	45
2	Sp Lisbon	17	13	4	0	+28	43
3	Benfica	17	12	4	1	+29	40
4	Sp Braga	17	12	1	4	+19	37
5	Maritimo	18	8	4	6	-3	28
6	Rio Ave	17	8	3	6	+6	27
7	Chaves	18	7	5	6	-1	26
8	Guimaraes	18	7	2	9	-9	23
9	Boavista	17	6	3	8	-4	21
10	Tondela	17	5	4	8	-7	19
11	Belenenses	17	5	4	8	-8	19
12	Portimonense	17	4	6	7	-4	18
13	Feirense	17	5	2	10	-6	17
14	Pacos Ferreira	18	3	6	9	-15	15
15	Aves	17	3	5	9	-10	14
16	Moreirense	17	3	5	9	-14	14
17	Vitoria Setubal	17	2	6	9	-16	12
18	Estoril	17	3	3	11	-21	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+18	24
3	Sp Lisbon	9	7	2	0	+16	23
4	Benfica	8	7	1	0	+19	22
5	Maritimo	9	6	2	1	+6	20
6	Rio Ave	9	5	1	3	+4	16
7	Belenenses	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Portimonense	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Chaves	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Guimaraes	8	4	1	3	-4	13
12	Boavista	8	4	0	4	-4	12
13	Vitoria Setubal	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Feirense	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Tondela	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Moreirense	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Estoril	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Aves	9	1	2	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Porto	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Benfica	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Sp Braga	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Chaves	9	4	1	4	-4	13
6	Rio Ave	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Tondela	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Guimaraes	10	3	1	6	-5	10
9	Boavista	9	2	3	4	+0	9
10	Aves	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Feirense	8	2	1	5	-2	7
13	Moreirense	9	2	1	6	-9	7
14	Estoril	9	1	2	6	-14	5
15	Portimonense	9	0	4	5	-9	4
16	Belenenses	9	1	1	7	-13	4
17	Vitoria Setubal	8	0	2	6	-13	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	0	2	7	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.