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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Real Madrid

T S U S S

4–1

Full-time

Leganes

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

77% Possession 23%

17 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Leganes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Huesca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.