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Bundesliga
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Leverkusen
T T U S T
1–3
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 17. · Wolfsburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hannover 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Freiburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Wolfsburg
22′
🟨 Ignacio Camacho
1–0 L. Bailey
M. Weiser
24′
36′
R. Özcan 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
49′
🟨 Jérôme Roussillon
55′
W. Weghorst 2–1
J. Roussillon
C. Aránguiz 🔁
↦ Wendell
59′
60′
R. Steffen 2–2
J. Brekalo
67′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ R. Steffen
Paulinho 🔁
↦ K. Volland
71′
I. Thelin 🔁
↦ L. Alario
71′
Aleksandar Dragović 🟨
72′
Isaac Thelin 🟨
73′
81′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ W. Weghorst
84′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ J. Roussillon
Mitchell Weiser 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Daniel Ginczek
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
28 R. Özcan G
6 A. Dragović D
23 M. Weiser D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
13 L. Alario F
10 J. Brandt M
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
20 C. Aránguiz
7 Paulinho
11 I. Thelin
1 L. Hradecky
16 T. Jedvaj
21 D. Kohr
38 K. Bellarabi

Coach: H. Herrlich

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
12 P. Pervan G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
4 Ignacio Camacho M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
7 J. Brekalo M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
14 A. Mehmedi
33 D. Ginczek
17 F. Uduokhai
3 P. Verhaegh
10 Y. Mallı
36 P. Menzel
37 E. Rexhbecaj

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.