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Primeira Liga
Referee: Antonio Nobre
Santa Clara
T U U
4–2
Full-time
Boavista
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 15. · Boavista 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Braga 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Benfica 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Feirense 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Porto 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Guimaraes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
7 Maritimo 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Belenenses 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 +0 4
10 Rio Ave 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Boavista 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Moreirense 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Nacional 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Chaves 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 Santa Clara 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Tondela 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Aves 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Portimonense 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Boavista
Accioly 🟨
13′
1–0 Thiago Santana ⚽
Fernando
19′
21′
🟨 André Claro
Thiago Santana 🟨
25′
A. Stephens 🔁
↦ Thiago Santana
29′
Half-time 1–1
47′
⚽ F. Falcone 1–1
Fábio Espinho
2–1 Fernando ⚽
Bruno Lamas
50′
53′
🔁 Mateus
↦ André Claro
3–1 Osama Rashid ⚽
60′
61′
🔁 Rafael Costa
↦ S. Sparagna
65′
⚽ Talocha 3–2
Fernando 🟨
69′
Anderson Carvalho 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 Rafael Lopes
↦ Fábio Espinho
76′
🟨 Carraça
Minhoca 🔁
↦ Zé Manuel
76′
85′
🟨 Federico Falcone
César 🔁
↦ Bruno Lamas
87′
4–2 Osama Rashid ⚽
A. Stephens
98′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-3-3
99 Marco Pereira G
4 Accioly D
91 Patrick D
3 Fábio Cardoso D
15 João Lucas D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
14 Thiago Santana F
6 Osama Rashid M
20 Bruno Lamas M
70 Zé Manuel M
93 Fernando F
Bench (7)
18 A. Stephens
10 Minhoca
12 César
2 Rui Silva
8 P. Pacheco
11 D. Pineda
96 João Lopes

Coach: João Henriques

Boavista

4-4-2
90 Helton Leite G
3 Raphael Silva D
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
22 S. Sparagna M
8 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
17 Carraça D
7 Rochinha M
28 F. Falcone F
18 André Claro F
Bench (7)
9 Mateus
23 Rafael Costa
33 Rafael Lopes
1 Rafael Bracalli
2 Gonçalo Cardoso
20 Edu Machado
39 Paciência

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Antonio Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.