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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
0–1
Full-time
Wolves
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
29%
14%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · Wolves 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Chelsea 7 5 2 0 +10 17
4 Tottenham 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Arsenal 7 5 0 2 +5 15
6 Watford 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Bournemouth 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Leicester 7 4 0 3 +3 12
9 Wolves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Everton 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Brighton 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Burnley 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 West Ham 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Southampton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Fulham 7 1 2 4 -8 5
18 Newcastle 7 0 2 5 -6 2
19 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 -12 2
20 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Wolves
James McArthur 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
56′
M. Doherty 0–1
R. Jiménez
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ J. McArthur
63′
C. Kouyaté 🔁
↦ J. Ayew
72′
75′
🔁 Ivan Cavaleiro
↦ R. Jiménez
78′
🟨 Conor Coady
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ J. Schlupp
82′
84′
🔁 R. Saïss
↦ Hélder Costa
87′
🔁 Adama Traoré
↦ Diogo Jota
Cheikhou Kouyaté 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Jonny Castro
Patrick van Aanholt 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 João Moutinho
90′
🟨 Ivan Cavaleiro
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
13 W. Hennessey G
12 M. Sakho D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 P. van Aanholt D
15 J. Schlupp M
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
18 J. McArthur M
10 A. Townsend M
4 L. Milivojević M
14 J. Ayew F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (7)
7 M. Meyer
8 C. Kouyaté
9 A. Sørloth
2 J. Ward
31 Guaita
34 M. Kelly
42 J. Puncheon

Coach: R. Hodgson

Wolves

3-4-3
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
10 Hélder Costa F
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (7)
7 Ivan Cavaleiro
27 R. Saïss
37 Adama Traoré
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy
30 K. Hause
33 Léo Bonatini

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.