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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Angers
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
24 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Strasbourg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 8 8 0 0 +21 24
2 Lille 9 6 1 2 +10 19
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 St Etienne 9 4 3 2 -1 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 +7 14
6 Marseille 8 4 1 3 +3 13
7 Toulouse 9 3 4 2 -2 13
8 Strasbourg 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Bordeaux 8 3 2 3 -1 11
10 Nice 9 3 2 4 -6 11
11 Caen 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 Angers 8 3 1 4 -1 10
13 Dijon 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Nimes 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Reims 8 2 3 3 -5 9
16 Rennes 8 2 2 4 -3 8
17 Amiens 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Monaco 8 1 3 4 -3 6
19 Nantes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Guingamp 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Strasbourg
2′
L. Mothiba 0–1
Nuno Da Costa
40′
L. Mothiba 0–2
L. Carole
45′
🟨 Pablo Martinez
Half-time 0–2
V. Pajot 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
46′
F. Tait 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
46′
49′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
1–2 P. Capelle
J. Reine-Adélaïde
58′
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 Jonas Martin
71′
🔁 L. Koné
↦ P. Martinez
76′
🟨 Matz Sels
Cristian López 🔁
↦ W. Kanga
82′
82′
🔁 J. Grimm
↦ Nuno Da Costa
88′
🟨 Jeremy Grimm
91′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ A. Thomasson
2–2 R. Thomas
F. Tait
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
11 W. Kanga F
Bench (7)
6 V. Pajot
20 F. Tait
9 Cristian López
1 Z. Boucher
2 R. Aït Nouri
7 H. Manzala
10 A. Fulgini

Coach: S. Moulin

Strasbourg

3-4-1-2
1 M. Sels G
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
27 K. Lala D
4 P. Martinez D
19 A. Caci D
8 J. Martin M
26 A. Thomasson M
18 I. Sissoko M
29 Nuno Da Costa F
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
5 L. Koné
6 J. Grimm
11 D. Liénard
9 I. Saadi
17 A. Gonçalves
30 B. Kamara
20 L. Zohi

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.