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Premier League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Burnley
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Huddersfield
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
29%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,4
Conceded
1,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 10
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 13. · Huddersfield 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Chelsea 7 5 2 0 +10 17
4 Tottenham 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Arsenal 7 5 0 2 +5 15
6 Watford 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Bournemouth 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Leicester 7 4 0 3 +3 12
9 Wolves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Everton 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Brighton 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Burnley 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 West Ham 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Southampton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Fulham 7 1 2 4 -8 5
18 Newcastle 7 0 2 5 -6 2
19 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 -12 2
20 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Huddersfield
1–0 S. Vokes
J. Guðmunds­son
20′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Laurent Depoitre
59′
🔁 I. Mbenza
↦ L. Depoitre
59′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ R. van La Parra
C. Wood 🔁
↦ A. Barnes
61′
66′
C. Schindler 1–1
C. Löwe
J. Hendrick 🔁
↦ A. Westwood
73′
Ben Mee 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Zanka
86′
🔁 F. Hadergjonaj
↦ C. Löwe
Matthew Lowton 🟨
90′
M. Vydra 🔁
↦ S. Vokes
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
20 J. Hart G
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
25 A. Lennon M
4 J. Cork M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
18 A. Westwood M
10 A. Barnes F
9 S. Vokes F
Bench (7)
11 C. Wood
13 J. Hendrick
27 M. Vydra
28 K. Long
1 T. Heaton
26 P. Bardsley
31 D. McNeil

Coach: S. Dyche

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lössl G
25 M. Jørgensen D
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
37 E. Durm D
17 R. van La Parra M
6 J. Hogg M
10 A. Mooy M
21 A. Pritchard M
8 P. Billing M
20 L. Depoitre F
Bench (7)
18 I. Mbenza
24 S. Mounié
33 F. Hadergjonaj
11 A. Diakhaby
12 B. Hamer
9 E. Kachunga
27 J. Stankovič

Coach: D. Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.