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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Swansea
U T U S U
2–3
Full-time
Ipswich
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Championship · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
36%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 41%
27%
55%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

72% Possession 28%
19 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 8. · Ipswich 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 11 6 4 1 +10 22
2 Sheffield United 11 7 1 3 +7 22
3 West Brom 11 6 3 2 +11 21
4 Leeds 11 5 5 1 +10 20
5 Brentford 12 4 6 2 +6 18
6 Norwich 11 5 3 3 +1 18
7 Derby 10 5 2 3 +5 17
8 Swansea 11 4 5 2 +4 17
9 Wigan 11 5 2 4 +2 17
10 Bristol City 11 4 4 3 +3 16
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 7 1 +2 16
12 Sheffield Weds 11 4 4 3 +0 16
13 Aston Villa 11 3 6 2 +1 15
14 Blackburn 11 3 6 2 -2 15
15 Bolton 11 4 3 4 -4 15
16 Stoke 11 3 4 4 -2 13
17 QPR 11 4 1 6 -10 13
18 Birmingham 11 1 8 2 -1 11
19 Rotherham 11 3 2 6 -8 11
20 Reading 11 2 3 6 -2 9
21 Hull 11 2 2 7 -8 8
22 Millwall 11 1 4 6 -7 7
23 Ipswich 11 0 6 5 -8 6
24 Preston 11 1 3 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Ipswich
0–1 J. Donacien
own goal
9′
27′
G. Edwards 0–2
F. Sears
31′
M. van der Hoorn 1–2
own goal
Half-time 1–2
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ K. Naughton
46′
46′
🔁 J. Knudsen
↦ J. Donacien
L. Fer 🔁
↦ G. Byers
58′
68′
🟨 Andre Dozzell
B. McKay 🔁
↦ M. van der Hoorn
75′
2–2 B. Celina
B. McKay
79′
80′
🔁 F. Downes
↦ A. Dozzell
81′
🟨 Trevoh Chalobah
84′
T. Chalobah 2–3
G. Ward
Joe Rodon 🟨
88′
93′
🔁 K. Jackson
↦ G. Edwards
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Swansea

4-1-4-1
1 K. Nordfeldt G
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
22 J. Rodon D
14 T. Carroll M
28 G. Byers M
21 M. Grimes M
20 D. James M
23 C. Roberts M
10 B. Celina M
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
16 J. Asoro
8 L. Fer
19 B. McKay
27 J. Fulton
3 Martin Olsson
25 E. Mulder
17 C. Carter-Vickers

Coach: G. Potter

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
1 D. Gerken G
4 L. Chambers D
22 A. Nsiala D
2 J. Donacien D
5 M. Pennington D
6 T. Chalobah M
8 C. Skuse M
7 G. Edwards M
18 G. Ward M
23 A. Dozzell M
20 F. Sears F
Bench (7)
3 J. Knudsen
21 F. Downes
9 K. Jackson
36 J. Lankester
33 B. Bialkowski
14 J. Graham
11 J. Nolan

Coach: P. Hurst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.