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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Cardiff
T T S U S
0–1
Full-time
Wigan
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Championship · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
19 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 20. · Wigan 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 14 10 1 3 +19 31
2 Brighton 14 8 4 2 +9 28
3 Huddersfield 13 9 1 3 +5 28
4 Norwich 14 8 3 3 +7 27
5 Bristol City 14 7 2 5 +6 23
6 Birmingham 14 6 5 3 +3 23
7 Brentford 15 6 4 5 +7 22
8 Reading 14 6 4 4 -3 22
9 Sheffield Weds 13 6 3 4 +0 21
10 Preston 14 6 2 6 +1 20
11 Leeds 14 6 2 6 -1 20
12 Barnsley 14 6 1 7 +3 19
13 QPR 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Fulham 14 4 6 4 -2 18
15 Burton Albion 14 4 5 5 +0 17
16 Aston Villa 14 3 8 3 +0 17
17 Ipswich 14 4 5 5 -2 17
18 Wolves 14 4 4 6 -1 16
19 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 -3 15
20 Cardiff 14 4 3 7 -9 15
21 Derby 14 3 5 6 -4 14
22 Blackburn 14 3 3 8 -8 12
23 Wigan 14 2 5 7 -3 11
24 Rotherham 14 1 3 10 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Wigan
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 N. Byrne
↦ Y. Wildschut
S. O'Keefe 🔁
↦ P. Whittingham
72′
K. Harris 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
72′
73′
🔁 C. Davies
↦ W. Grigg
L. Immers 🔁
↦ C. Noone
84′
86′
Jordi Gómez 0–1
D. Perkins
95′
🔁 K. Knoyle
↦ M. Jacobs
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-5-1
21 B. Amos G
2 L. Peltier D
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
7 P. Whittingham M
17 A. Gunnarsson M
11 C. Noone M
13 A. Pilkington F
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
Bench (7)
22 S. O'Keefe
24 K. Harris
10 L. Immers
5 B. Écuélé Manga
15 K. Richardson
27 M. Chamakh
30 B. Wilson

Coach: N. Warnock

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 A. Bogdán G
23 S. Warnock M
3 J. Buxton D
33 D. Burn D
32 R. Burke D
14 Jordi Gómez M
16 S. MacDonald M
4 D. Perkins M
17 M. Jacobs M
9 W. Grigg F
31 Y. Wildschut F
Bench (7)
10 N. Byrne
21 C. Davies
12 K. Knoyle
15 J. Flores
18 K. Woolery
20 C. Morgan
22 J. Jääskeläinen

Coach: G. Barrow

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.