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Ligue 1
Referee: Sébastien Desiage
Guingamp
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Angers
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 5. · Angers 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 10 8 2 0 +13 26
2 Paris SG 11 7 2 2 +13 23
3 Monaco 10 7 1 2 +15 22
4 Toulouse 11 5 3 3 +6 18
5 Guingamp 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 Rennes 10 5 2 3 +0 17
7 St Etienne 10 4 4 2 +4 16
8 Lyon 11 5 1 5 +3 16
9 Bordeaux 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Angers 10 4 2 4 +0 14
11 Marseille 10 3 4 3 +1 13
12 Metz 10 4 1 5 -9 13
13 Dijon 10 3 3 4 -1 12
14 Nantes 10 3 2 5 -4 11
15 Bastia 10 3 1 6 -2 10
16 Lille 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 Montpellier 10 2 4 4 -9 10
18 Caen 10 3 1 6 -10 10
19 Nancy 10 1 3 6 -8 6
20 Lorient 10 2 0 8 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Angers
44′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Gilles Sunu
56′
🟨 Vincent Manceau
61′
🔁 N. Pepe
↦ P. Capelle
L. Blas 🔁
↦ M. Coco
63′
76′
🔁 F. Dore
↦ G. Sunu
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ B. Sankoh
77′
1–0 N. De Pauw
L. Blas
78′
83′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ T. Mangani
Étienne Didot 🟨
90′
S. Privat 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-3-3
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
3 Fernando Marçal D
2 J. Ikoko D
6 B. Sankoh M
17 E. Didot M
8 L. Deaux M
24 M. Coco M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
Bench (7)
21 L. Blas
12 N. De Pauw
11 S. Privat
4 B. Angoua
9 A. Mendy
26 T. Giresse
30 R. Salin

Coach: A. Kombouare

Angers

4-3-3
16 M. Michel G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 Y. Andreu D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
18 B. Santamaria M
10 G. Sunu F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
19 N. Pepe
27 F. Dore
20 F. Tait
1 D. Petric
4 M. Pavlović
21 P. Martinez
23 J. Saihi

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sébastien Desiage · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.