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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Barnsley

T S T S U

0–3

Full-time

Aston Villa

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barnsley 19. · Aston Villa 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Wolves	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Cardiff	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Preston	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Ipswich	7	5	0	2	+4	15
6	Sheffield United	8	5	0	3	+2	15
7	Bristol City	8	3	4	1	+5	13
8	Middlesbrough	7	4	1	2	+5	13
9	Sheffield Weds	8	3	4	1	+3	13
10	Nott'm Forest	8	4	0	4	-2	12
11	QPR	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Norwich	8	3	2	3	-4	11
13	Fulham	8	2	4	2	+1	10
14	Derby	7	3	1	3	+0	10
15	Millwall	8	2	3	3	+2	9
16	Hull	8	2	2	4	-1	8
17	Reading	7	2	2	3	-1	8
18	Burton Albion	8	2	2	4	-9	8
19	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	+0	7
20	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6
21	Sunderland	8	1	3	4	-5	6
22	Brentford	8	0	4	4	-5	4
23	Birmingham	8	1	1	6	-8	4
24	Bolton	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Preston	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	QPR	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Middlesbrough	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Sheffield United	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ipswich	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Leeds	4	2	2	0	+7	8
8	Bristol City	4	2	2	0	+5	8
9	Sheffield Weds	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Hull	4	2	1	1	+6	7
11	Millwall	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Burton Albion	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
15	Derby	3	2	0	1	+4	6
16	Barnsley	3	2	0	1	+3	6
17	Nott'm Forest	4	2	0	2	-1	6
18	Aston Villa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
19	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
20	Reading	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-3	4
22	Brentford	4	0	3	1	-1	3
23	Sunderland	4	0	1	3	-4	1
24	Bolton	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Leeds	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Nott'm Forest	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Sheffield United	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Preston	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Sheffield Weds	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Reading	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Derby	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Norwich	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Middlesbrough	3	1	0	2	+1	3
16	Millwall	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Bolton	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Barnsley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	QPR	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Brentford	4	0	1	3	-4	1
22	Hull	4	0	1	3	-7	1
23	Burton Albion	4	0	1	3	-10	1
24	Birmingham	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.