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Serie A

Referee: Luca J Pairetto

Roma

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Verona

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%

30 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 0

10 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 6

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 12. · Verona 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Torino	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Milan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Spal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Bologna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Roma	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sassuolo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.