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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Excelsior

T S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Heerenveen

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 13. · Heerenveen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Heracles	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	NAC Breda	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0
17	Roda	4	0	0	4	-8	0
18	Willem II	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	NAC Breda	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Twente	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Roda	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.