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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Hertha

U T U S U

2–4

Full-time

M'gladbach

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

27%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 14. · M'gladbach 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	2	1	+22	29
2	RB Leipzig	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Dortmund	12	6	2	4	+13	20
4	Hoffenheim	12	5	5	2	+6	20
5	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Hannover	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	M'gladbach	11	5	3	3	-2	18
9	Leverkusen	12	4	5	3	+7	17
10	Augsburg	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Stuttgart	12	5	1	6	-3	16
12	Mainz	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Wolfsburg	12	2	8	2	-1	14
14	Hertha	11	3	5	3	-1	14
15	Hamburg	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Freiburg	12	1	5	6	-17	8
17	Werder Bremen	11	0	5	6	-10	5
18	FC Koln	12	0	2	10	-19	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Stuttgart	6	5	1	0	+7	16
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Mainz	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Leverkusen	6	3	3	0	+8	12
6	Hoffenheim	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Hertha	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+4	10
10	M'gladbach	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Dortmund	5	3	0	2	+9	9
12	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Wolfsburg	7	1	5	1	-1	8
14	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Freiburg	6	1	4	1	+0	7
16	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Werder Bremen	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+6	13
2	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Dortmund	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	RB Leipzig	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Hannover	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Leverkusen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Werder Bremen	6	0	4	2	-2	4
13	Hertha	5	0	3	2	-3	3
14	Hamburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-7	2
16	FC Koln	7	0	1	6	-12	1
17	Freiburg	6	0	1	5	-17	1
18	Stuttgart	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.